Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.278396 1.565442 1.933977 2.456084 3.202091 4.274026 6.025297
2025-02-23 0.917265 1.237633 1.715740 2.534304 4.036113 7.051403 15.138701
2025-03-02 0.740975 1.066324 1.605328 2.671170 5.095681 11.959412 48.944280
2025-03-09 0.616429 0.925752 1.476108 2.685244 5.958143 18.861559 219.228991
2025-03-16 0.518478 0.800515 1.326656 2.570518 6.408972 26.706376 2239.779022
2025-03-23 0.468378 0.745769 1.291752 2.699368 7.834725 50.615106 NaN
2025-03-30 0.421431 0.686240 1.228615 2.723793 8.999222 93.856213 NaN
2025-04-06 0.377601 0.624458 1.144320 2.648309 9.678634 162.576518 NaN
2025-04-13 0.343084 0.575315 1.076870 2.594514 10.481038 326.605734 NaN
2025-04-20 0.329119 0.564977 1.096796 2.838720 13.921480 3959.024391 NaN
2025-04-27 0.311909 0.545030 1.088413 2.984643 17.409100 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.290805 0.513770 1.044377 2.973025 19.584961 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.267777 0.476195 0.978396 2.849762 20.309825 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.254197 0.457950 0.961271 2.934255 24.835751 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.244255 0.446549 0.960677 3.099889 32.887021 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.231321 0.426730 0.932178 3.116510 38.769053 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.215953 0.399701 0.878086 2.975001 39.423715 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.208968 0.391588 0.878807 3.133722 54.034909 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.199816 0.377345 0.858339 3.163885 66.018797 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.189110 0.358392 0.820292 3.070715 70.479976 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.179841 0.342174 0.788646 3.004462 77.261244 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.177592 0.342894 0.811241 3.306180 140.875598 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.173246 0.337950 0.814497 3.487619 236.170456 NaN NaN